2016 Crapsforum College Football Bowl Game Challenge

Discussion in 'Offtopic Lounge' started by random_roller, Dec 18, 2016.

  1. random_roller, Dec 18, 2016

    random_roller

    random_roller Member

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    2016 Crapsforum College Football Bowl Game Challenge

    For bragging rights. For fun. No gambling. No entry fee. Nothing to purchase. Oh, and in the spirit of Christmas, there will be a prize (gift) awarded to the winner -- a copy of the book Craps: Everything You Need to Know by basicstrategy777, courtesy of random_roller.

    Please carefully review this post, especially all of the RULES and GAME PLAY provisions. Also double-check your entry before submitting to make sure it is complete and compliant.

    BTW, I ran this through the outside legal team at Sioux, Wynne & Prophet. Not quite sure about those guys; some might only have mail order degrees. Nonetheless, in order to get their buyoff (translation: as justification for their billable hours), they came up with additional terms and conditions. Read on.

    RULES:
    1. Contestants submitting an entry must be a legal resident of the United States and twenty-one (21) years of age or older. By submitting an entry, the individual acknowledges these requirements and certifies his/her compliance.
    2. Limit one (1) entry per person, regardless of the number Crapsforum member names under control. Honor system, please. Multiple and/or revised entries are *NOT* permitted and will void all entries from that person.
    3. The completed entry -- including picked winners and assigned confidence points for all 14 evaluated bowl games -- must be posted to this thread ("2016 Crapsforum College Football Bowl Game Challenge") on or before 9pm Central on Wednesday, December 21, 2016.
    4. Only the first thirty (30) valid entries posted to this thread ("2016 Crapsforum College Football Bowl Game Challenge") on or before 9pm Central on Wednesday, December 21, 2016 plus one (1) from random_roller will be eligible to compete for the prize.
    5. Based upon response, random_roller reserves the right to allow up to ten (10) additional valid entries (on a case-by-case basis) to be eligible to compete for the prize, provided such additional entries were posted to this thread ("2016 Crapsforum College Football Bowl Game Challenge") on or before 9pm Central on Wednesday, December 21, 2016.
    6. Failure to comply with any and all of the RULES or GAME PLAY provisions may result in a voided entry. A late or voided entry will not be accepted and is ineligible for the prize.
    7. Subject to any tie breaker (if applicable), the valid entry eligible for the prize with the highest score wins.
    8. If there are multiple valid and eligible entries each submitted at a different time by a different person but otherwise identical (e.g., the same winners picked and same assigned confidence points for each winner for all 14 evaluated bowl games), the entry that was received first in time (e.g., based upon date/time stamp when posted to "2016 Crapsforum College Football Bowl Game Challenge" thread) owns the tie-breaker -- without further consideration of the TIE BREAKER criteria below -- between those otherwise identical entries should all finish the contest with the highest score.
    9. Errors or omissions may be corrected, and clarifications added, by random_roller at any time without prior notice.
    10. All decisions by random_roller are final.

    GAME PLAY:

    There are fourteen (14) evaluated bowl games, as follows:

    upload_2016-12-18_23-47-25.png

    1. Pick who you think will be the winning team for each of the fourteen (14) evaluated bowl games. This is a straight-up pick (e.g., no point spreads are involved). Only (1) winning team may be picked per bowl game.
    2. The teams for Game #14 (CFP National Championship) must be the winner you selected for Game #8 (Chick-fil-A-Peach Bowl, Washington vs. Alabama) and Game #9 (PlayStation Fiesta Bowl, Ohio State vs. Clemson). For example, if you picked Alabama to beat Washington in Game #8 and Ohio State to beat Clemson in Game #9, your teams for Game #14 would be Alabama vs. Ohio State, regardless of whether or not Alabama and/or Ohio State actually makes it to the CFP National Championship; thus, in this example you would pick either Alabama or Ohio State as the winner of Game #14.
    3. Assign 1 to 14 confidence points (1 = least confident pick, 14 = most confident pick) to each of the fourteen (14) evaluated bowl games based upon the winning team you selected. Note that each evaluated bowl game must have a different assigned confidence point value (1 to 14).
    4. Assigning a confidence point value should be based upon how likely you think a winning team will prevail in its bowl game relative to all of the other winning teams you have picked prevailing in their respective bowl games. For example, if you think Louisville is an absolute "lock" to beat LSU in the Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl and all of the other evaluated bowl games are "toss-ups", you would pick Louisville as the winner of the Citrus Bowl and assign 14 confidence points to that game.
    5. Since the teams for Game #14 (CFP National Championship) won't be finalized until well after the entry deadline, you should give careful thought as to the confidence points assigned to this game.
    6. For each correctly picked winning team in the entry, the assigned confidence points for that bowl game will be awarded. Awarded confidence points will be summed to determine the score for that entry.
    7. No confidence points will be awarded for incorrect or missing picks in any of the fourteen (14) evaluated bowl games.
    8. In the event an evaluated bowl game is cancelled or not completed, that game will be removed from the scoring process; however, no adjustment will be made to the confidence point assignment on any entry.

    TIE BREAKER:

    In the event multiple valid and eligible entries are tied for the highest score, the following tie-breaker(s) will be applied to determine the one (1) oveall winner of the 2016 Crapsforum College Football Bowl Game Challenge:
    1. First, correctly picking the winner of Game #14 (CFP National Championship).
    2. Second, highest number of confidence points awarded for Game #14 as a result of correctly picking the winner of Game #14 (CFP National Championship).
    3. Third, highest number of correctly picked winners in evaluated bowl games involving the service academies: Game #1 (Louisiana Tech vs. Navy), #2 (Army vs. North Texas), and #5 (South Alabama vs. Air Force).
    4. Fourth, highest total (summed) number of confidence points awarded from correctly picked winners of games involving the service academies, Games #1. #2, and #5.
    5. Fifth, coin flip by random_roller.

    PRIZE
    1. After the outcome for all fourteen (14) evaluated bowl games has been decided, random_roller will calculate the score from all valid entries eligible for the prize and determine the winner.
    2. Identity of the winning entry and associated Crapsforum member name will be posted in this thread ("2016 Crapsforum College Football Bowl Game Challenge").
    3. One (1) prize will be awarded.
    4. The awarded prize will go to the winner -- the person whose eligible entry has the highest score. In the event there are multiple eligible entries tied with the highest score, the person with the entry that prevailed after application of tie-breakers will be deemed the winner.
    5. The awarded prize is a copy of the well-received book Craps: Everything You Need to Know by basicstrategy777 -- an active member of Crapsforum -- and is subject to availability from the author.
    6. Random_roller will notify basicstrategy777 as to the winner of the 2016 Crapsforum College Football Bowl Game Challenge.
    7. In the event a copy of the book Craps: Everything You Need to Know by basicstrategy777 is not available from the author by February 28, 2017 , a Starbucks gift card will be substituted as the awarded prize in lieu of a copy of the book.
    8. In order to claim the awarded prize, the winner will need to provide contact information (USPS verified mailing addresses in the United States only) on or before January 31, 2017.
    9. Winner is responsible for all applicable taxes.

    SAMPLE ENTRY:

    Information highlighted in yellow (Game Number, Winner, Confidence Points) in the sample table below needs to be included in entry.

    upload_2016-12-19_1-33-2.png


    Good luck to all participants and thanks for helping to make Crapsforum an open community and the best of its kind on the internet.



    Edit #1 (12/19) -- (1) Attached Zip file of Rich Text Format (.RTF) Entry Form; (2) Corrected typos, formatting; (3) Added "CFP Championship Game" to TIE BREAKER #2.
     

    Attached Files:

    #1
    Last edited: Dec 19, 2016
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  2. random_roller, Dec 18, 2016

    random_roller

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    [RESERVED for updates]
     
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  3. Twelve4s, Dec 19, 2016

    Twelve4s

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    Thanks Random for doing this! Looks like a lot of work. How do we fill in form? It doesn't appear to be in PDF format?
     
    #3
  4. random_roller, Dec 19, 2016

    random_roller

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    Excellent question, Twelve4s.

    Unfortunately, I don't currently have the full version of Acrobat installed on this computer, so editable PDFs are not an option for me.

    I have attached (to the original post) a zip file of a Rich Text Format Entry Form (table) that can be filled out and uploaded. Or the entry form can be completed and then, using the Snipping Tool in Windows 7 or higher, an image of the table can be saved and uploaded. But it's not necessary to use the entry form at all.

    Something as simple as Game X, Winner, Confidence Points Y for all fourteen (14) evaluated games -- where X and Y are some number (1 to 14), depending upon the game and picked winner -- will suffice. For example, the following format (based upon the SAMPLE ENTRY in the original post) is acceptable:

    Game 1, Navy, 4
    Game 2, Arny, 8
    Game 3, Pittsburgh, 12
    Game 4, Colorado, 5
    Game 5, Air Force, 7
    Game 6, Michigan, 9
    Game 7, Louisville, 13
    Game 8, Alabama, 11
    Game 9, Ohio State, 1
    Game 10, Iowa, 10
    Game 11, Wisconsin, 14
    Game 12, USC, 3
    Game 13, Oklahoma, 6
    Game 14, Ohio State, 2
    What is important to note is each Game # is tied to a specific evaluated bowl game. For example, Game #1 is the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl, Louisiana Tech vs. (25) Navy, in Fort Worth, Texas on Friday, December 23 at 4:30PM (ET).

    Note that there are 105 total possible Confidence Points (sum of 1 to 14). If you sum the assigned Confidence Points for each of the fourteen (14) evaluated bowl games in your picks and you arrive at a different total, something is off.
     
    #4
    Last edited: Dec 19, 2016
  5. Twelve4s, Dec 20, 2016

    Twelve4s

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    Consider this my entry. I know I'd have a better chance of beating the bohunk, than winning this. I am a total chunker at college football.

    Game 1. Louisiana Tech. 8
    Game. 2. Army. 11
    Game 3. Pitt. 5
    Game 4. OK State. 3
    Game 5. Air Force. 9
    Game 6. Florida State 2
    Game 7. LSU 7
    Game. 8. Alabama. 14
    Game. 9. Clemson. 1
    Game. 10. Florida. 6
    Game. 11. Wisconsin. 10
    Game. 12. USC. 12
    Game. 13. Auburn. 4
    Game. 14. Alabama. 13
     
    #5
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  6. random_roller, Dec 20, 2016

    random_roller

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    Twelve4s,

    Your entry has been received and

    At the moment, I'd have to say you're the favorite to win it all! Of course, things can change in the next few weeks, as additional entries are received and the evaluated bowl games are played.

    Thanks for your participation & good luck!
     
    #6
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  7. Twelve4s, Dec 20, 2016

    Twelve4s

    Twelve4s Member

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    If 777 wins, does he get a copy of his own book?
     
    #7
  8. random_roller, Dec 20, 2016

    random_roller

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    Sure, if he enters and is the winner. If that happens, he'll probably take the money I send for the book and make a few hardways bets when the voices tell him the timing is right. That being said, I've been told his powers of prediction might not carry over to college football, so the challenge is wide open as far as I can tell.
     
    #8
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  9. Twelve4s, Dec 20, 2016

    Twelve4s

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    Ya can't win if ya ain't in.
     
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  10. random_roller, Dec 20, 2016

    random_roller

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    Random Roller's (hopefully) winning entry:
    • Game 1, Navy, 4
    • Game 2, Army, 10
    • Game 3, Pittsburgh, 9
    • Game 4, Colorado, 5
    • Game 5, Air Force, 12
    • Game 6, Michigan, 11
    • Game 7, Louisville, 8
    • Game 8, Alabama, 14
    • Game 9, Ohio State, 2
    • Game 10, Iowa, 7
    • Game 11, Wisconsin, 13
    • Game 12, USC, 3
    • Game 13, Oklahoma, 6
    • Game 14, Ohio State, 1

    Go Buckeyes!!
     
    #10
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  11. random_roller, Dec 20, 2016

    random_roller

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    You now have competition!
     
    #11
  12. Twelve4s, Dec 20, 2016

    Twelve4s

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    Good luck! I see you don't have much confidence in your Buckeyes!
     
    #12
  13. random_roller, Dec 20, 2016

    random_roller

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    I suppose it depends upon how one looks at it. I have them picked to win it all, but you're right -- I'm not exactly going out on a limb in assigning Confidence Points to their games. Ohio State is the youngest team in FBS this season in terms of returning starters, and they're going up against a very talented and experienced mobile QB. The very kind of player who gives the Buckeyes' defense lots of problems.
     
    #13
  14. Twelve4s, Dec 20, 2016

    Twelve4s

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    I hope you get lots of entries. Should be fun.
     
    #14
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  15. random_roller, Dec 20, 2016

    random_roller

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    A higher number of entries would certainly make things more interesting as the bowl games are played. We'll see...
     
    #15
  16. basicstrategy777, Dec 21, 2016

    basicstrategy777

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    • Game 1, Navy, 8
    • Game 2, North Texas 5
    • Game 3, Pittsburgh, 4
    • Game 4, Colorado, 1
    • Game 5, Air Force 12
    • Game 6, Michigan, 1 4
    • Game 7, LSU, 2
    • Game 8, Alabama, 13
    • Game 9, Ohio State, 7
    • Game 10, Florida, 11
    • Game 11, Wisconsin, 9
    • Game 12, USC 10
    • Game 13, Oklahoma, 6
    • Game 14, Ohio State, 3

    777
     
    #16
    Last edited: Dec 21, 2016
  17. basicstrategy777, Dec 21, 2016

    basicstrategy777

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    Note: I will donate the book back to the 'House' after I win, so some lucky soul can avail themselves of a great craps book. After all, it is Christmas.

    777
     
    #17
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  18. KokomoJoe4, Dec 21, 2016

    KokomoJoe4

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    G1 La Tech, 7
    G2 Army, 10
    G3 Pitt, 13
    G4 OK State, 1
    G5 Air Force, 2
    G6 Fla State, 3
    G7 LSU, 5
    G8 Alabama, 12
    G9 Ohio State, 9
    G10 Florida, 14
    G11 Wisc, 11
    G12 So Cal, 4
    G13 Auburn, 6
    G14 The Tide, 8
     
    #18
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  19. KokomoJoe4, Dec 21, 2016

    KokomoJoe4

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    777,

    You can not use 7 three different times! You also have multiple box numbers at 6, 9 and 10. This ain't craps! and a DI isn't shooting.;)
     
    #19
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  20. random_roller, Dec 21, 2016

    random_roller

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    Hey 777 -

    Perhaps I wasn't clear enough, but the assigned Confidence Points (1 to 14) has to be different for each game. In your current entry, you have repeated several numbers (i.e., 6 has been used for games involving Colorado, LSU, and Oklahoma). Only one of 14 games can be assigned 6 Confidence Points, so if you decide Colorado is that game, then you'll have to assign a different number for the games involving LSU and Oklahoma.

    When you add up the assigned Confidence Points (1 to 14) to all 14 of the bowl games, the correct total should be 105.

    If you look at KokomoJoe4's picks, the assigned Confidence Points are 1 to 14 and there are no repeated numbers.

    Still time for your to edit your entry.
     
    #20