NFL picks contest (Year 3 - 2020)

Discussion in 'Offtopic Lounge' started by TDVegas, Sep 8, 2020.

  1. TDVegas, Sep 8, 2020

    TDVegas

    TDVegas Member

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2014
    Messages:
    18,188
    Likes Received:
    12,718
    Open to all.

    Pick 5 teams using point spread. I will tally results after Monday Night Football. Picks must be posted before game time...if you want Thursday's game, just pick it before game time.

    I'll put up the sheet each week....whether it’s from RR or off the Internet.

    Pick away based on spreads.

    0E3D3BF5-2AB0-4AE6-A956-1034C59DA412.jpeg
     
    #1
    Last edited: Sep 8, 2020
  2. TDVegas, Sep 8, 2020

    TDVegas

    TDVegas Member

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2014
    Messages:
    18,188
    Likes Received:
    12,718
    Las Vegas
    Seattle
    Chicago
    Rams
    Eagles
     
    #2
    yacraps likes this.
  3. Bases loaded, Sep 8, 2020

    Bases loaded

    Bases loaded Member

    Joined:
    Jan 29, 2015
    Messages:
    2,213
    Likes Received:
    2,167
    Not sure how much NFL I'll be watching, nor if I can reliably get my picks in on time, so I will be using 'systems' to make my picks.

    That way if I don't get my picks in, my bets could have been ascertained, and accepted based on what system I have declared I'm using at that time.

    My current system is take the 5 Home teams receiving the most points.

    This method produces 6 teams in Week 1:

    Carolina +2.5
    Wash. +6
    JAX +7.5
    Cincy +3
    Rams +2.5
    NYG +4

    In case of a tie, the team listed first on the sheet is taken, in this case Carolina, so drop the Rams.

    My Week 1 picks are:

    Carolina +2.5
    Wash. +6
    JAX +7.5
    Cincy +3
    NYG +4


    Plus, by using a 'system' I can't be blamed when I inevitably go 0-5

    I will however take credit if the system produces a 5-0 week.
     
    #3
    yacraps and Night Attack like this.
  4. Night Attack, Sep 8, 2020

    Night Attack

    Night Attack Member

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2014
    Messages:
    946
    Likes Received:
    1,218
    Gender:
    Male
    What if there are less than 5 home teams receiving points?
     
    #4
    yacraps and Bases loaded like this.
  5. Bases loaded, Sep 8, 2020

    Bases loaded

    Bases loaded Member

    Joined:
    Jan 29, 2015
    Messages:
    2,213
    Likes Received:
    2,167
    Aaaaah, glad you asked Mr. Attack.

    I did not say 'underdogs', I said the home teams 'receiving the most points'.

    So a home team favorite giving a point is 'getting' more points than a team giving 2 points. -1 is greater than -2.

    Von Duck will confirm the math on this.
     
    #5
    yacraps and Night Attack like this.
  6. TDVegas, Sep 8, 2020

    TDVegas

    TDVegas Member

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2014
    Messages:
    18,188
    Likes Received:
    12,718
    No worries. If anyone misses a week here or there....they can double or triple up. There’s no hard and fast rules with this.

    It’s been a crazy year and I think some have not been around here much. Craps discussion has been lagging. Nature of the pandemic I guess.

    if we don’t get a full contingent of bettors...no worries. We’ll figure something out.
     
    #6
    yacraps likes this.
  7. von duck, Sep 8, 2020

    von duck

    von duck Member

    Joined:
    Feb 10, 2017
    Messages:
    11,993
    Likes Received:
    2,836
    Gender:
    Male
    The wording is a little weak, but the MATH is accurate. Only takes about five minutes for a guy to get his picks in, so what's got you so tied-up? :)
     
    #7
  8. Bases loaded, Sep 9, 2020

    Bases loaded

    Bases loaded Member

    Joined:
    Jan 29, 2015
    Messages:
    2,213
    Likes Received:
    2,167
    Another good question!

    It's not the time it takes to make picks, it's the time it would take to make good, accurate picks. Meaning do the homework on the games.

    I hate to get the picks wrong, so I'm copping out.
     
    #8
    yacraps likes this.
  9. MisterInside, Sep 9, 2020

    MisterInside

    MisterInside Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2017
    Messages:
    1,358
    Likes Received:
    2,320
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    Ohio
    We kicked butt in the playoffs last year. Good luck everybody!

    Regular season 310-322-13: .490
    Playoffs 40-30-7: .552
    Total 350-352-20: .498575


    upload_2020-9-9_15-40-23.png
     
    #9
    yacraps likes this.
  10. Bases loaded, Sep 9, 2020

    Bases loaded

    Bases loaded Member

    Joined:
    Jan 29, 2015
    Messages:
    2,213
    Likes Received:
    2,167
    BTW, Thanks, TDVegas for running this pool again.

    Also thanks, MrInside for all the stats.

    Let's get our win pct. above .500!!
     
    #10
    Last edited: Sep 9, 2020
  11. MisterInside, Sep 9, 2020

    MisterInside

    MisterInside Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2017
    Messages:
    1,358
    Likes Received:
    2,320
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    Ohio
    I’m not trying to step on TDV’s toes. I’m just a retired, old retail dog trying to beat last year’s numbers.
     
    #11
    yacraps, TDVegas and Bases loaded like this.
  12. Night Attack, Sep 9, 2020

    Night Attack

    Night Attack Member

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2014
    Messages:
    946
    Likes Received:
    1,218
    Gender:
    Male
    At -110 we need .5238 to break even.

    Von Duck will confirm the math on this.
     
    #12
    yacraps and Bases loaded like this.
  13. Night Attack, Sep 10, 2020

    Night Attack

    Night Attack Member

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2014
    Messages:
    946
    Likes Received:
    1,218
    Gender:
    Male
    If anyone is interested in entering any football pools send me a PM and I will forward you details.

    There is a guy in NY who runs a bunch of them. Pickem's, survivor, box pools etc...
     
    #13
    yacraps likes this.
  14. TDVegas, Sep 10, 2020

    TDVegas

    TDVegas Member

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2014
    Messages:
    18,188
    Likes Received:
    12,718
    Tough nut to break....unless I visit various sports related betting forums or the sports book at Red Rock. Then, very prevalent above break even.:rolleyes:

    You’d be amazed how many people are well above break even Ticky, ticky...I must hear or read 4 of 5 telling “yep”.

    While not a monster feat to get above .5238....making money consistently (year over year) at 56-60%....I have to assume a LOT of these guys are...simply liars.

    Seems like a huge feat...not necessarily to do it one year....but year in, year out.

    I went back to check on “Dom The Dominator“ of dice influence fame and see how his “58% win rate” picks are going since everything started back up....alas, his twitter page of daily picks has been dormant since February.:rolleyes:

    I figured with that kind of record...why stop?
     
    #14
    yacraps and Night Attack like this.
  15. MisterInside, Sep 10, 2020

    MisterInside

    MisterInside Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2017
    Messages:
    1,358
    Likes Received:
    2,320
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    Ohio
    Picks are late coming in. The guys must be reading the Woodward book.

    Texans
    Browns
    Bills
    Seahawks
    Steelers
     
    #15
    yacraps and TDVegas like this.
  16. MisterInside, Sep 10, 2020

    MisterInside

    MisterInside Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2017
    Messages:
    1,358
    Likes Received:
    2,320
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    Ohio
    I agree with the KC fans...........Boo!

    Fuck that black national anthem too.
     
    #16
    yacraps likes this.
  17. TDVegas, Sep 10, 2020

    TDVegas

    TDVegas Member

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2014
    Messages:
    18,188
    Likes Received:
    12,718
    If I was a betting man....I think I would run from the Texans every time. Either a day late or a dollar short....this team knows how to come up lame, regular season or playoffs.
     
    #17
    yacraps likes this.
  18. Night Attack, Sep 11, 2020

    Night Attack

    Night Attack Member

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2014
    Messages:
    946
    Likes Received:
    1,218
    Gender:
    Male
    Maybe the penny has finally dropped and Dom is betting his picks instead of selling them. But there's a sucker born every minute.
     
    #18
    yacraps likes this.
  19. basicstrategy777, Sep 11, 2020

    basicstrategy777

    Joined:
    Jul 4, 2010
    Messages:
    10,248
    Likes Received:
    9,915
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    CT.
    Open Letter To The NFL PLAYERS. The Boycott is coming.

    You graduated high school in 2011. Your teenage years were a struggle. You grew up on the wrong side of the tracks. Your mother was the leader of the family and worked tirelessly to keep a roof over your head and food on your plate.

    Academics were a struggle for you and your grades were mediocre at best. The only thing that made you stand out is you weighed 225 lbs and could run 40 yards in 4.2 seconds while carrying a football. Your best friend was just like you, except he didn’t play football. Instead of going to football practice after school, he went to work at McDonald’s for minimum wage.

    You were recruited by all the big colleges and spent every weekend of your senior year making visits to universities where coaches and boosters tried to convince you their school was best. They laid out the red carpet for you. Your best friend worked double shifts at Mickey D’s. College was not an option for him. On the day you signed with Big State University, your best friend signed paperwork with his Army recruiter. You went to summer workouts. He went to basic training.

    You spent the next four years living in the athletic dorm, eating at the training table. You spent your Saturdays on the football field, cheered on by adoring fans.

    Tutors attended to your every academic need. You attended class when you felt like it. Sure, you worked hard. You lifted weights, ran sprints, studied plays, and soon became one of the top football players in the country. Your best friend was assigned to the 101st Airborne Division. While you were in college, he deployed to Iraq once and Afghanistan twice. He became a Sergeant and led a squad of 19-year-old soldiers who grew up just like he did. He shed his blood in Afghanistan and watched young American's give their lives, limbs, and innocence for the US.

    You went to the NFL combine and scored off the charts. You hired an agent and waited for draft day. You were drafted in the first round and your agent immediately went to work, ensuring that you received the most money possible. You signed for $16 million although you had never played a single down of professional football. Your best friend re-enlisted in the Army for four more years. As a combat tested sergeant, he will be paid $32,000 per year.

    You will drive a Ferrari on the streets of South Beach. He will ride in the back of a Blackhawk helicopter with 10 other combat loaded soldiers. You will sleep at the Ritz. He will dig a hole in the ground and try to sleep. You will “make it rain” in the club. He will pray for rain as the temperature reaches 120 degrees.

    On Sunday, you will run into a stadium as tens of thousands of fans cheer and yell your name. For your best friend, there is little difference between Sunday or any other day of the week. There are no adoring fans. There are only people trying to kill him and his soldiers. Every now and then, he and his soldiers leave the front lines and “go to the rear” to rest.

    When the National Anthem plays and you take a knee, he will jump to his feet and salute the television. While you protest the unfairness of life in the United States, he will give thanks to God that he has the honor of defending his great country.

    To the players of the NFL: We are the people who buy your tickets, watch you on TV, and wear your jerseys. We anxiously wait for Sundays so we can cheer for you and marvel at your athleticism. Although we love to watch you play, we care little about your opinions until you offend us. You have the absolute right to express yourselves, but we have the absolute right to boycott you. We have tolerated your drug use and DUIs, your domestic violence, and your vulgar displays of wealth. We should be ashamed for putting our admiration of your physical skills before what is morally right. But now you have gone too far. You have insulted our flag, our country, our soldiers, our police officers, and our veterans. You are living the American dream, yet you disparage our great country. I encourage all like-minded Americans to boycott the NFL.

    National boycott of the NFL is November 8th & 15th in honor of Veteran’s Day, November 11. Boycott all football telecast, all fans, all ticket holders, stay away from attending any games, let them play to empty stadiums. Pass this post along to all your friends and family. Honor our military - some of whom come home with the American flag draped over their coffin.
    Add MLB, NBA, and any other sport that kneels to this

    #BoycottNFL #BoycottTheNFL #NFLBoycott
    #BoycottNBA #BoycottTheNBA #NBABoycott
    #BoycottMLB #MLBBoycott
    #USA #Veterans #backtheblue #StandForTheFlag
    #VetsforTrump #TeddyDaniels

    777
     
    #19
    Wrongway and yacraps like this.
  20. von duck, Sep 11, 2020

    von duck

    von duck Member

    Joined:
    Feb 10, 2017
    Messages:
    11,993
    Likes Received:
    2,836
    Gender:
    Male
    OK, but you forgot to give us your picks? :confused: :)
     
    #20