My bad… I meant it would hit 7 more times than the point, once it’s established.
And the important item here is that it must get established. On a random roll, you have 8 combinations trying to knock you down. You cannot discount the fact that there are lots of players who have a skill or just blind luck to throw that yo or big red on the come out.
And look on the net for sure fire betting systems. At least one of them will guarantee that you’ll make $$$ but ALL you have to do is get past the come out 7.
And you are forgetting the point. Shooters make 1 point frequently enough that you can’t bank on anyone not making a point, even the 4 and the 10.
And don’t forget the house edge. The house takes a small portion of every winning bet. You have to win more times than you lose, just to stay even.
So, the rolls go 11, 7, 6, 8, 6. You’ve won $7 on the 8 but you lost $81 on your DP bet. Now you have an up-hill struggle to get back to even and you’ll be laying out $54 each round. You’re gonna need a pretty deep pocket to make this one work.
But, this can work when the table is choppy. With rolls like 11, 3, 12, 6, 4, 10, 7. ($-27 +27 +0 +9 +9 +27 -27[place] = +18) You make a little bit of money on your place bets to offset the $27 place loss, and a couple of DP offsets. I’d say the secret to this strategy would be to set a win limit on the place bets and take them down after 2, 3, or 4 hits, then wait for the 7.
But, you have to watch out for hot shooters. When you see them, tone back the DP action.
Hedging works for some people, in spite of the disgust that it draws from others. Here you are trying to balance out the $27 place bets against the arrival of the 7. Ask yourself, why $27? Why not $32? Why not $17 on the 5, 6, 8 and $5 on the field for $22 and a $22 DP? Why not Ricochet? There are hundreds of options to choose from.
When you hedge your bets, the goal is to limit your losses while still eking out some wins. If this suits your personality, I think you are on the right path. If this does suit you, you should read some of John Patrick’s books.